Blue Origin lost their only launch pad, what now?
Having a rocket company is so easy!
Imagine your aerospace company had its third launch not long ago. It did not go very well but you did recover your gigantic booster for a second time, plus the issue in question was fairly easy to fix. So easy in fact, you’re already good to go with a brand new booster and launch number four is looking like it’s maybe a week away.
Furthermore, that launch is your first time actually launching your own constellation yourself instead of buying launches from other companies. Wonderful right? Life could not get any better! Things are looking up, NASA just selected your company to carry a bunch of stuff to the surface of the Moon because people in the industry trust you. You’re even in a competition with the world’s most successful aerospace company to provide NASA landers for the Artemis missions despite your first orbital launch being just a year ago.
Oh, what’s that?
The rocket blew up?
ON THE PAD?
THAT WAS OUR ONLY PAD?
Yikes.
Maybe it’s not that easy…
Ever since Blue Origin’s first orbital launch in January of 2025, they have had the reputation of being “reliable” because their flagship rocket, New Glenn had been in the works for a loooong time and the first two launches went really well for a company’s first time launching big rockets. Ever since its founding up until around 2022, Blue Origin had its roots planted firmly in “old space” territory.
A place where rocket designs must be studied for a decade before flying and where reliability is the name of the game. When CEO David Limp took office the year after, Blue started to transition into “new space” mode. From now, cadence is the name of the game, screw reliability, that’ll come soon after anyway. Limp accelerated the company’s progress towards their first orbital flight and just a year after he took office, New Glenn flight one took to the skies.
A few months later, flight two lifts off and as a bonus, Blue Origin announced their intention of creating a new “9x4” variant of New Glenn that would rival the mighty Saturn V in height and mass to orbit, all while being partially reusable! That’s almost a competitor to Starship, quite impressive!
Despite the semi-failure of the third launch due to what seems to be insufficient thrust coming from one of the two upper stage engines, things really were looking up for Blue Origin. But that fateful night of May 28th, reality slapped Blue hard.
Yes Rico, ka-boom
Never before had a methalox rocket ever blown up while fully fueled. The boom was huge and the damage even more so. LC-36C which Blue Origin built around 2020 looks a lot less like a launchpad now. Most people in the aerospace community, whether that be armchair engineers or real people with jobs, seem to agree on the prediction that the repair of pad LC-36C is going to take at the very least one whole year.
One year without ANY launches whatsoever while NASA needs Blue for the Artemis program and also one year without any way to achieve any significant progress in the battle against SpaceX for landing humans on the moon. At what used to be the world’s happiest rocket company, things are now looking bleak. It’s not the end of the world of course, I’m sure Blue will rebuild everything and get back on their feet but until then, the only thing they can do is wait and think -
think about why this happened, how it could have been prevented and also how this is going to screw them over in the long run. Blue Origin basically just paused themselves for at least a year. That said, some have speculated that perhaps, Blue could use this as an opportunity to rebuild everything for their 9x4 variant instead of their 7x2 variant they were exploiting. That plan isn’t stupid but it does certainly mean an even longer downtime because of the engineering implications behind it.
No one was expecting Blue Origin to be at such a decisive crossroad before mid-2026. They were in paradise, now they’re in hell and their decisions over the next few months, or even weeks, could have a huge butterfly effect on the company’s future at a time when the space race is accelerating exponentially.